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Newsflash

Don’t be panic. Try to get use to the system. Don’t forget every  game playing with in the limit.if uncertainty is over market will shoot up around 7500 level.
 
Future Sri Lankan Market.
Written by Administrator   
Sunday, 22 August 2010
 

FUTURE SRILANKAN MARKET…

In the next decade Sri Lanka is going to be the most exciting country in the Asian continent. So many foreign funds around the world are ready to grab the opportunities in this small island. Money will flow in an incredible way. Then what will happen to the Colombo stock market? Surprise, I am sure your investment will grow up with a huge amount.

First, money will inflow to blue chip companies and absorb the liquidity and within a very short period the fundamental values will take the share price very high. After that many blue chip companies must choose the share split method and give more liquidity to the market and at the same hand they will double or treble the shareholders wealth.

Secondly the mid cap shares, will shoot up with fundamental values and equal to the market index and investors sentiment. Thirdly, penny stocks will reach over their par value and fundamental values because of market sentiment and the future expectation about any cash infusion, and company turn around.

Many funds inflow to the CSE market means, our market capitalization have to have an increase. As a result,

1. The listed companies will choose share splits, right issues and warrants to build up their share quantity and capital.

2. Many foreign and local new companies can be listed in the CSE. Very soon CSE will have to introduce derivatives and option trading to the market.

3. Then our daily turnover must grow up over trillion rupees.

4. Sri Lankan investors and brokers will have to expect more monitoring and investor protection methods can be introduced by the regulators and in the future you have to get used to these kinds of regulations.

Finally my messages for the small investor “don’t go to margin trading or credit trading in the future. Buy any stocks what you want in cash payment. Keep that for long term investment for another several years. Then you will get a very big return. But at the same time, if u want to trade with the market, use another trading account and play with the market following the technical’s. But don’t use your margin over 25-30%. If not, at any market correction time, you will loose what you gained and also your capital

If any inexperienced investor is trading with the bull market, like, if any person try to cross the highway which is dangerous.

My best message for the new commerce how to learn stock trading is…

1. Use the paper trading method.

 How to do paper trading? Take a piece of paper and a pen and note down the shares which you hope to buy with the price and quantity. But don’t buy it in reality. Next if you hope to sell, note the quantity and price you hope to sell. But don’t sell it in reality. Then you are able to calculate your gain or loss. Please try to do this at least or a minimum of 3 months. And I am sure that you will get an experience. It’s better to maintain 3 paper trading portfolios. One for your own opinion, other for your investment advisors opinion and the other for market rumors. Then finally you can analyze what is the best for you. But don’t forget that market rumors are not 100% true.

My main message for the new investors, if you want to make profits you have to learn and get experience on how to move the market up and down, and how you can survive with this sentiment game.

 Many news channels and news papers or any institution will invite to public that the market is so good, you can invest in the market now and so many things. But without learning and without understanding it’s very dangerous. Because the stock market movement up or down have so many reasons and so many funds circulating. They have so many targets. In this process small investors will be in a risk. Therefore it’s a must that you have to learn.

“If you want to understand the market movements properly, don’t do it part time, make it apart of your life and live with it”

Don’t forget, “numbers make you happy and numbers make you sad”

                                                                  Have a nice day!

 

Last Updated ( Sunday, 22 August 2010 )
 
Market Panic.
Written by Administrator   
Sunday, 08 August 2010
MARKET PANIC

After the civil war Sri Lankan stock market was one of the best performing market in this world. Normally good or bad situation first affects to the stock market around the world. For an example, the financial crisis was first affected to the stock market before affecting to the normal businesses. In the other hand sri Lankan land is ready to go on a big journey for development. Stock market identified this opportunity and the market grew up day by day.

Now in srilanka we have peace, political stability, fast economic growth and currency stability. Day by day in Sri Lanka economic growth increases and equally inflation and interest rates decreases. So, many funds try to get this opportunity. Therefore money will flow first to the stock market and secondly  to big development projects.

Our main problem is that the sri Lankan stock market is a very small stock market. Its daily turn over is less than 25 million USD’s. if we want to get the best return in the stock market, we have to expand the stock market system, capacity and liquidity. At the same time regulators have to do the best monitoring system and use the market protection system also.

Few years before one of the foreign fund came to srilanka and they identified future potential in the market and they prepared to make some of the infrastructure to match the future market and play with the huge foreign funds. But unfortunately Sri Lankan stock market does not have enough capacity to grab the future potential. They have to develop the market system to grow to trillion rupees turn over level in the future. They have to inform to investors  market protection and market development system in the future. Then people will know how to use the regulatory and get used to the system.

If market is in the bull, suddenly a trading hold or any system introduced will panic the investors and that positive sentiment suddenly turns in to a negative sentiment and the market trend comes down. What we need is regulators have to inform earlier to the market their future protections, rules and regulations. In the other hand investors also have to know the country and the market going in a big journey we have to respect the law and order and get used to it. And be civilized not stubborn. If something negative happens the damage is to the investor’s wealth.

Last week the sri Lankan stock market got a new experience. Regulators introduced one of the investor’s protection systems suddenly. And many investors got panicked and market got a little bit correction. If investors get unnecessary panic, this correction can go to another several points down. But you should know, like this type of tiny markets,  big funds can control the market and they will get the best return. May be this investor protection system can be used at some big players to bring the market down and collect the stocks in discount prices.

At this kind of situation the reaction is retail investors, margin trading players, and credit traders will wipe out their wealth and money power. That means big investors will win the situation.

My personal opinion is srilankan stock market is the win win situation. Indexes will go up more and more. That means many funds will inflow to the market. May be those kinds of funds wants t bring down the market and grab the opportunities. Then what should be done is “don’t be panicked. Use your brain. Try to restructure the portfolios and try to grab the opportunities if prices are cheep... “

What I say every time, I will remind you again and again.

v  Don’t be greedy.

v  Don’t listen to market rumors.

v  Analyze the situation from your own mind.

v  If the market or any stock is negative, look at that and the opportunity is there.

v  If something is positive, be careful. Risk is there. 

Finally what you want to do is, if investors are negative and scared at the crisis situation, you have to be positive and put your smart money to the market. If investors are positive and good news around the air, you have to be scared and take your money out of the market with your huge profit.  If you want it short and sweet “go in with sad time, come out with happy time…”

 

Don’t be sad, very son market will go up and up. The same thing will happen like what happened in the shark theory. (Shark theory – the small fish in the sea is a prey of the big fish in the sea. And the food chain continues). The lesson is, don’t be apart of the food chain. Try to survive and in the market.

                                                            Have a nice day… ! 
Last Updated ( Sunday, 08 August 2010 )
 
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